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📝Macro Hedge Funds Exhibit A Low Level Of Conviction: UBS Strategy
My FX Flow Monitor shows hedge fund positioning has flipped with the average holding period shortened significantly. Also, macro...

Rosbel Durán
4 days ago


💱📊Wrong-Footed G10FX Composite Model On Volatility Spike: Cable FX Macro
**As seen in Online Tools > FX Factors, get access now! cablefxm.co.uk The flagship G10FX composite model is posting consecutive monthly...

Rosbel Durán
4 days ago


🏦📊Fed-ECB Spread Curve Holding After Rate Decision: Cable FX Macro
**As seen in Online Tools > IRP, get access now! cablefxm.co.uk Fed-ECB spread extends into negative territory, the shape of the implied...

Rosbel Durán
4 days ago


📝Holding Tactically Neutral View On EUR/SEK: Danske Bank
For three long years the Swedish economy has been getting nowhere, but now we expect the recovery to finally gain some traction in 2025....

Rosbel Durán
4 days ago


📝 China GDP Growth Forecast Risks Tilted to The Downside: Nordea
China’s GDP growth (5.4% y/y and 1.2% q/q) surprised to the upside at the beginning of the year. Although the GDP numbers often raise...

Rosbel Durán
4 days ago


📝See ECB Cutting Rates One More Time In 2H: MUFG
We can’t see any obvious reason to delay getting rates back to at least neutral (i.e. 2%) from here given the wide range of known...

Rosbel Durán
4 days ago


📊🇸🇪Sweden Tops Macroeconomic Ranking: Cable FX Macro
**As seen in Online Tools > Eco Board, get access now! cablefxm.co.uk The lower left bar chart in the Economic Board shows the G10 macro...

Rosbel Durán
Apr 17


⚖️🇨🇭Franc And Swiss Rates Diverge On Latest Volatility Surge: Cable FX Macro
This isn't isolated to the Swiss franc, monetary policy is having a diminished impact on currency crosses as market participants focus on...

Rosbel Durán
Apr 17


💷Sterling Bullish Skewness Extends: Cable FX Macro
GBP/USD 1y risk reversals have jumped by almost 50bps over the last month, reflecting a broad dollar deterioration in sentiment. The...

Rosbel Durán
Apr 17


📝Do Not Expect Further ECB Rate Cuts After June: Nordea
We think the ECB will cut rates by a further 25bp at the next meeting in June , though given that the central bank still emphasises...

Rosbel Durán
Apr 17


📝See Risks Of U.S. Recession Above 50%: Rabobank
The outperformance of the S&P 500 relative to other G10 stock markets in recent years reflected the widely held view that, for the most...

Rosbel Durán
Apr 17


❗️ 📝Cable FX Macro Weekly Note: ECB April Rate Decision
**As seen in Risk In The Week report 04/15/25, get access now! cablefxm.co.uk The ECB announced its latest interest rate decision on...

Rosbel Durán
Apr 17


📝BoJ Set to Pause In May On Trade Risks: ING
We have trimmed our GDP forecasts for Japan and changed our BoJ rate hike outlook. The frontloading of Japanese vehicles and machinery...

Rosbel Durán
Apr 7


📝 G10FX Flows In Line With Typical Risk-Off Moves: UBS Strategy
USD flows were mixed last week. Hedge funds sold USD into the reciprocal tariffs announcement last Wednesday and the selling continued on...

Rosbel Durán
Apr 7


💵🔻Dollar Records +3 Sigma Day: Cable FX Macro
Thursday session goes to the history books, the magnitude of change in the dollar index and USTs has been seen rarely. The return profile...

Rosbel Durán
Apr 3


🐍🦅Mexican Peso Outperforms Tariff Risk Off Session: Cable FX Macro
*As seen in Online Tools > Chart Grid, subscribe at cablefxm.co.uk Puzzling price action on cross-assets have pushed desks to write...

Rosbel Durán
Apr 3


📝Faster Tokyo CPI Increases Odds Of BoJ May Rate Hike: ING
Tokyo's consumer price index (CPI) inflation unexpectedly accelerated to 2.9% year on year in March from a revised 2.8% in February,...

Rosbel Durán
Mar 28


📝Entered Long EUR/CHF: J.P. Morgan Strategy
We enter a EUR/CHF EUR/GBP dual digital to take advantage of top down and bottom up themes in European regional FX. At the top down...

Rosbel Durán
Mar 28


🏦🇲🇽Cable FX Macro Weekly Note: Banxico March Rate Decision
**As seen in Risk In The Week report 03/24/25, get access now! cablefxm.co.uk The February Banxico monetary policy meeting saw the...

Rosbel Durán
Mar 27


🏦🇳🇴Cable FX Macro Weekly Note: Norges Bank Rate Decision
**As seen in Risk In The Week report 03/24/25, get access now! cablefxm.co.uk Back in January, the Norges Bank unanimously decided to...

Rosbel Durán
Mar 27
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