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📝Banxico Needs Fed to Cut Rates to Defend Spread: ING
The Banxico differential versus the Fed funds rate is 3.7%. That’s some 100bp below the 15yr average. The all-time low was 2.9%, back in...

Rosbel Durán
Jul 16


📝Hedge Ratios Increase Likely to Hit CAD, SEK, CHF Most: J.P. Morgan
Canadian pension funds’ overall FX hedge ratio is low in levels terms, and also relative to peers ( Hedge ratios were at the bottom of...

Rosbel Durán
Jul 16


💱Inflation Measures Behind G10FX YTD Performance: Cable FX Macro
Data from G10FX returns vs USD, volatility, rates and macro indicators stand as of June 2025 close to represent 1H drivers. This post...

Rosbel Durán
Jul 15


📆⚠️U.S. Retail Sales, U.K. Inflation, Japan CPI Ahead: Cable FX Macro
**As seen in Online Tools > Risk Map , get full access now! cablefxm.co.uk Main macroeconomic catalysts ahead: U.K. Inflation Rate: The...

Rosbel Durán
Jul 15


📝SNB's Options to Address CHF Strength Seem Limited: ING
The SNB will be forced to take rates negative again when it next meets for a policy decision in September. Some think that a hot...

Rosbel Durán
Jul 10


📝USD Shorts Hit 1-Sigma Below Historical Norms: J.P. Morgan FX Strategy
IMM data shows that net aggregate USD shorts are in excess of 1-sigma below historical norms, and anecdotally, investors are concerned...

Rosbel Durán
Jul 10


📊💱Momentum And Carry Lead Gains In June: Cable FX Macro
**As seen in Online Tools > Factors, get full access now! cablefxm.co.uk The last month of 2Q is in the books, and we're officially set...

Rosbel Durán
Jul 8


💶Euro In A Downtrend Break Faces Headwinds: Cable FX Macro
The long-term downtrend seen for the last fifteen years was finally breached earlier in the year as prospects for the euro area were...

Rosbel Durán
Jul 8


⚠️💱Euro, Yen Volatility Diverges Across The Structure: Cable FX Macro
The chart below illustrates the volatility structures for the euro (green) and the yen (blue). The curves are now projecting divergent...

Rosbel Durán
Jul 8


📝Maintain Bearish Bias On Crude Oil, See $55-$75/bbl Range: Banorte IXE
Crude-oil prices have exhibited heightened volatility in recent months. Brent and WTI had previously priced in 20% geopolitical risk...

Rosbel Durán
Jul 8


📝LDP Leadership Could Potentially Boost USD/JPY Higher: MUFG
With talk of Mr. Ishiba’s resignation likely to emerge, the market’s attention shifts to the question of who the next prime minister will...

Rosbel Durán
Jul 8


🏦🇺🇸SOFR Calendar Spreads Post 10Bps Bullish Repricing: Cable FX Macro
According to market-implied probabilities, there is a strong chance that the Fed will maintain rates at 4.25%–4.50%. The CME FedWatch...

Rosbel Durán
Jul 3


⚖️💱Short-Term Rates Driving EUR/USD Price: Cable FX Macro
We recently saw a historic performance in EUR/USD, one that even central bankers from the ECB were vocal. The move is coinciding with a...

Rosbel Durán
Jul 3


🌐🔺🔻Developed Market Equities Post Double-Digit Returns In Q2: Cable FX Macro
The S&P 500 surged in June, climbing 3% and closing at 6,141.02 on June 26, just shy of its all-time high of 6,147.43 set in February....

Rosbel Durán
Jul 3


📊🇺🇸U.S. Headline Jobs top Almost All Estimates: Cable FX Macro
**As seen in Online Tolls > Non Farm Payrolls dashboard, get full access now! cablefxm.co.uk Here's an update on the latest economic...

Rosbel Durán
Jul 3


🏦🇲🇽Cable FX Macro Weekly Note: Banxico June Rate Decision
** AS SEEN IN RISK IN THE WEEK REPORT 06/20/25, GET FULL ACCESS NOW! Banco de Mexico lowered the benchmark interest rate by 50 basis...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 25


⚠️Trump's 2.0 Volatility Tops First Term: Cable FX Macro
I'm borrowing data from a Bloomberg columnist as he arranged the table below showing CBOE's VIX statistics across Dem and Rep...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 25


💵Recent Dollar Price Action Detached From Safe Haven Dynamics: Cable FX Macro
The dollar rebound seen in recent sessions may raise the argument that the USD's safe haven attributes are back in play. However, this is...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 25


📝Tariffs Will Not Unleash Next Inflation Wave: ABN Amro
What is causing the delay in goods inflation? There are several reasons why we should not expect immediate price increases. Exporters,...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 25


📝Don't Expect Banxico June Decision to Be Unanimous: Natixis
We expect Banxico to cut the policy rate by 50bps to 8.00% at the June 26 meeting given a weak economy, negative output gap and a strong...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 25
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