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⚠️💱Mexican Peso Holds Highest Vol In LatAm FX: Cable FX Macro
Monday session saw headlines of domestic risks to Mexican peso push dollar/peso higher, the INE has validated Morena's super majority...

Rosbel Durán
Aug 27, 2024


🏦📊Fed-ECB Rate Differential Seen Shrinking to 100Bps: Cable FX Macro
Both a paring of ECB easing bets and a build up of Fed rate cut wagers have taken the OIS ECB-Fed spread to shrink to 100bps by June of...

Rosbel Durán
Aug 26, 2024


📝Hedge Funds Sold EUR Rallies Last Week: UBS Strategy
While EURUSD reached the highest level since July 2023, FX Flow Monitor shows hedge funds sold some EUR rallies last week. Probably as...

Rosbel Durán
Aug 26, 2024


📝We Have Revised Up Our EUR/USD Forecasts: Rabobank
Through most of this year, EUR/USD has been contained by a 1.10 to 1.06 range. This month’s break higher and the advent of a new policy...

Rosbel Durán
Aug 26, 2024


💵🔻Dollar Falls to Lowest Level Since January: Cable FX Macro
The dollar bottomed this week's G10FX performance as it fell 2.3% vs the Japanese yen, the franc gained 2.2%, and the kiwi rose 3.0%. The...

Rosbel Durán
Aug 25, 2024


⚖️🔺Kiwi May Be Overshooting Rate Differentials: Cable FX Macro
Currencies have gained ground vs the U.S. dollar as it declines across the board. Questioning which side of the basket may look overdone...

Rosbel Durán
Aug 25, 2024


💹Japanese Yen Trades Mixed vs G10: Cable FX Macro
We saw a continuation of yen strength vs major currencies, however, trading was mixed as the kiwi, franc, and sterling posted gains....

Rosbel Durán
Aug 25, 2024


📝65%-75% Of Carry Positions Have Been Unwound: J.P. Morgan FX Strategy
The main FX casualty in the vol spike was FX carry, which will be hard-pressed to recover the dominant status it enjoyed throughout the...

Rosbel Durán
Aug 20, 2024


📝We Now Expect A 25Bps Riksbank Rate Cut In September: Danske Bank
The cut from 25bp to 3.50% was delivered as widely expected. The Riksbank message of “two to three” more rate cuts for 2024 was however a...

Rosbel Durán
Aug 20, 2024


💹JPY Hedge Funds' % Of OI Rises The Most : Cable FX Macro
This week, CFTC data showed hedge funds turning net long JPY futures, a switch from a net short that has been held since early 2021 While...

Rosbel Durán
Aug 19, 2024


💵🔻The Dollar Falls to Lowest Since March: Cable FX Macro
Our measure of the dollar has dipped to the lowest level since March on Monday session, a Bloomberg dollar index has fallen to the lowest...

Rosbel Durán
Aug 19, 2024


🇺🇸📊U.S. Inflation Surprise Index Steady In July: Cable FX Macro
**As seen in Online Tools>U.S. Inflation Dashboard, subscribe at cablefxm.co.uk/reports Our own measure of U.S. inflation surprises...

Rosbel Durán
Aug 15, 2024


🇺🇸U.S. Consumer Prices Continue to Catch Lower: Cable FX Macro
July U.S. inflation report showed headline prices easing to 2.9% Y/y, the lowest since 2021. We have previously shown the CPI slowly...

Rosbel Durán
Aug 15, 2024


💶🔺Euro Risk Reversals Stand Most Bullish Since Early 2022: Cable FX Macro
Noting EUR/USD option markets skewed towards euro calls into the 1m tenor, risk reversals have retraced since yesterday's market reaction...

Rosbel Durán
Aug 15, 2024


📝See Euro At $1.02, Yields Closer to 5.0% On A Republican Sweep: ING
A Republican clean sweep is the most bullish scenario for the dollar medium term. Loose fiscal, tight monetary policy plus tariffs are...

Rosbel Durán
Aug 15, 2024


⚖️🇺🇸Curve Inversion Indicator Points to Recession And Equity Weakness Ahead: Cable FX Macro
Going back to the 1980s, every time the U.S. Treasury curve steepened from deep inverted levels, a U.S. recession along with an equity...

Rosbel Durán
Aug 13, 2024


🏦🇯🇵Japanese Banks Foreign Lending May Have Peaked: Cable FX Macro
I have previously shown the Mexican peso holding the largest beta to the Japanese yen in the EM space. This is due to the popularity of...

Rosbel Durán
Aug 13, 2024


⚠️💱Safe Havens Return to Historical Vol Profile: Cable FX Macro
August G10FX volatility beta update saw safe havens return to their historical profiles, the dollar had been the only +B for most of the...

Rosbel Durán
Aug 13, 2024


⚠️August 2024 Vol Spike Surpassed Covid: Cable FX Macro
This post is looking at the weekly <.VIX> range, I found it interesting as the 45.5 point range came to top the Covid crisis of March...

Rosbel Durán
Aug 11, 2024


⚠️MXN Holds The Highest Sensitivity to The Yen: Cable FX Macro
Last week's volatility spike did not hurt emerging market currencies as much, a Bloomberg measure of EMFX carry trades showed . However,...

Rosbel Durán
Aug 11, 2024
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