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⚠️Mexican Peso Implieds Rise Across Tenors: Cable FX Macro

  • The Mexican peso posted a weekly decline of 3.1%, it trimmed losses of nearly 4.0%. This is the worst five-day period in the peso since late August. What happened? This may have to do with softer peso

  • The graph below shows that 1w tenors had slipped below 15.0% a week ago, now they stand closer to 16.0%, a 1.2 vol increase on the week. Options markets now imply the peso moving around 1.0% on a daily basis over the next week, this isn't good for carry prospects. The 1m tenor, which covers the election, stands at 20.8%

  • Next week's docket will be light on the dollar side of the equation, however, the MX side sees IGAE Economic Activity, retail sales, and bi-weekly CPI


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