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📝No Cyclical Or Geopolitical Risk Premium Left In VXY: J.P. Morgan Strategy
The overarching narrative for FX volatility in 2023 was the unwinding of last year’s risk-off, starting with the China re-opening mania...

Rosbel Durán
Dec 29, 2023


📝November Records Highest Monthly Mexico Outflows Since April: J.P. Morgan Strategy
During November, both foreigners and locals were better sellers of local equity with total net flows of -$1.5 bn, marking the highest...

Rosbel Durán
Dec 26, 2023


📝Inflation Expectations Affecting Risk Aversion Correlations: Natixis
When risk aversion is high (if it is low, the signs are reversed), we expect government bond yields to fall, credit spreads to widen and...

Rosbel Durán
Dec 23, 2023


📝Expect Two 25Bps BoE Rate Cuts In 2024: Rabobank
In our view, the Bank of England's choice to stick with their existing guidance, despite a slower economy, some positive inflation...

Rosbel Durán
Dec 23, 2023


📝 Shift In Fundamentals Driving Low Realized Vol: Barclays Strategy
Empirically, there is a strong link between the strength of the equity market rally and the level of realized volatility. In particular,...

Rosbel Durán
Dec 21, 2023


📝U.S. Unemployment Rate Signaling A Labour Market Downturn: RBC
Consumer spending has been incredibly resilient, accelerating in Q3 despite higher interest rates and still elevated prices. But robust...

Rosbel Durán
Dec 19, 2023


📝We Believe The BoJ Will Adjust Policy In January: ING Strategy
We still believe that January is the likely time for the BoJ to begin its policy adjustment - scrapping the yield curve control. Governor...

Rosbel Durán
Dec 19, 2023


🏦🇺🇸 Cable FX Macro Weekly Note: FOMC December Rate Decision
**As seen in Risk In The Week report 12/08/23, subscribe at cablefxm.co.uk/reports The Federal Reserve will decide on interest rates...

Rosbel Durán
Dec 13, 2023


📝❗️Cable FX Macro Weekly Note
**As seen in Risk In The Week report 12/08/23, subscribe at cablefxm.co.uk/reports Ahead: U.S. Inflation FOMC, SNB, BoE, ECB Rate Decisions

Rosbel Durán
Dec 11, 2023


🇺🇸❗️Cable FX Macro Weekly Note: U.S. November Consumer Prices
**As seen in Risk In The Week report 12/08/23, subscribe at cablefxmc.co.uk/reports U.S. October consumer prices showed a downtick in...

Rosbel Durán
Dec 11, 2023


💶 Demand For EUR/USD Puts Off Best Levels Since March: Cable FX Macro
EUR/USD 1w risk reversals favoured puts over calls by 25bps, hedging for pair downside reached the highest since March at 44bps Demand...

Rosbel Durán
Dec 11, 2023


🇺🇸❗️ U.S. Financial Conditions Ease to Levels Not Seen Since Feb. 2022: Cable FX Macro
**As seen in Macro Walk report 12/08/23, subscribe at cablefxm.co.uk/reports A gauge of U.S. monetary conditions rose to mark levels not...

Rosbel Durán
Dec 11, 2023


📝 Market Fed Rate Cut Call Has Been Wrong Before: Nordea
We get both fresh CPI-readnings and the last FOMC meeting of the year. We expect their new economic projections to revise the outlook for...

Rosbel Durán
Dec 11, 2023


⚖️🌐U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Twist Flattens, AGBs Outperform: Cable FX Macro
**As seen in Macro Walk report 12/08/23, subscribe at cablefxm.co.uk/reports The week saw the front-end of the U.S. Treasury curve...

Rosbel Durán
Dec 10, 2023


⚠️💱FX Front-End Vol Premiums Rise Into Heavy Docket: Cable FX Macro
**As seen in Macro Walk report 12/08/23, subscribe at cablefxm.co.uk/reports Premiums in the front end of the volatility structure showed...

Rosbel Durán
Dec 10, 2023


📦❗️New: Cable FX Macro Reports Section
**As seen in cablefxm.co.uk/reports Read and download our weekly batch Economic and speakers calendar, FX Quotes, Macro Walk, Risk In The...

Rosbel Durán
Dec 10, 2023


🧮Leveraged Funds Caught Extended Short Yen: Cable FX Macro
**As seen in IMM Positioning report 12/01/23, subscribe at cablefxm.co.uk/reports Data provided by the CFTC showed leveraged funds...

Rosbel Durán
Dec 7, 2023


💹 USD/JPY Breaches 200DMA: Cable FX Macro
The yen is leading the G10FX on Thursday session, relative strength reflects a shift in expectations of BoJ monetary policy USD/JPY is...

Rosbel Durán
Dec 7, 2023


⚠️💱FX Implied Vol Curve Inverts Further: Cable FX Macro
Thursday session sees a rise in implied volatility across tenors, however, the front-end of the curve is showing the steepest increase...

Rosbel Durán
Dec 7, 2023


📝We Are More Constructive On G10 Value Reversions Into 2024: J.P. Morgan FX Strategy
In H1, currency returns have been informed by one single driver - rates differentials. If we wanted to oversimplify, we could say that...

Rosbel Durán
Dec 7, 2023
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