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🇨🇭❗️Cable FX Macro Weekly Note: Switzerland February CPI
**As seen in Risk In The Week report 03/02/24, subscribe at cablefxm.co.uk/reports Switzerland's January consumer prices missed estimates...

Rosbel Durán
Mar 3, 2024


⚠️💹Demand For USD/JPY Downside Rises Into BoJ: Cable FX Macro
Front-end tenors have seen a rise in yen topside demand, 1w-3w tenors rose by more than 50bps on the week, and the 1m tenor is now...

Rosbel Durán
Mar 3, 2024


💵Dollar Gains Capped, Ends Week Flat: Cable FX Macro
The Cable FX Macro Dollar Index rose into the end of the month and key data releases. Most of the USD's gains were held after the GDP...

Rosbel Durán
Mar 3, 2024


📝Holding Short EUR/CHF On EU Recovery Undershoot: J.P. Morgan FX Strategy
The EUR/CHF short was originally intended to capture weak regional growth, net positive CHF flows, and tariff risks. The position has...

Rosbel Durán
Mar 3, 2024


💴JPY Posts Best Day Of The Year: Cable FX Macro
The yen strengthened over the last session of the month to post its best day this year, USD/JPY slipped 0.9p to trade below 150.0 Dollar...

Rosbel Durán
Feb 29, 2024


📝Looking For 175Bps Of BoC Easing Into 2025: ING FX Strategy
While there is little prospect of any rate cut at the 6 March meeting and we doubt the BoC will be comfortable enough to loosen policy at...

Rosbel Durán
Feb 29, 2024


📝Expect Banxico to Cut Rates By 25Bps In March: UBS Strategy
Mexico's central bank on Wednesday lowered its growth forecast for 2024 to 2.8% from 3.0%, largely due to carryover effects, and said...

Rosbel Durán
Feb 29, 2024


📉AUD/USD Put/Call Premium Rises Into U.S. Election: Cable FX Macro
Demand to hedge AUD/USD downside is higher into the 6m and 9m tenors, the latter covers the U.S. election in November AUD/USD 3m-6m put...

Rosbel Durán
Feb 28, 2024


🎈🇨🇦Canadian Macro Sentiment Slumps to Lowest Since Sept. 2022: Cable FX Macro
Canada macroeconomic sentiment dipped into negative territory to reach the lowest level since September 2022. The index is recording the...

Rosbel Durán
Feb 28, 2024


🛢️📉Commodities Set to Post 7th Consecutive Month Of Losses: Cable FX Macro
An index tracking commodity prices built by Bloomberg is set to finish February down 1.9%, this is the 7th straight monthly loss for the...

Rosbel Durán
Feb 28, 2024


🇺🇸🗳️Polls Show Trump Extending Lead Over Biden: Cable FX Macro
Trump has extended its leadership over Biden, RealClearPolitics data shows. Polling has not favored the former President by a wide margin...

Rosbel Durán
Feb 28, 2024


📝We No Longer Expect RBNZ to Hike The OCR: ANZ
The OCR track, which peaks 9bp above the current level of 5.5%, indicates that the RBNZ still sees some upside risk overall. However, the...

Rosbel Durán
Feb 28, 2024


⚖️🔻Gold Relative Strength Detached From Yields: Cable FX Macro
Spot gold tested levels below $2,000/oz before reversing losses for the month. We have now seen CPI weakness pared back completely The...

Rosbel Durán
Feb 27, 2024


📊🇺🇸U.S. Seen Leading G10 Growth In 2024: Cable FX Macro
The consensus median expects the U.S. economy to outperform all developed nations this year, GDP is penciled at 2.0% before slowing to...

Rosbel Durán
Feb 27, 2024


📝 Australia May Be Transitioning to "Less Risky" Status: Westpac Strategy
AUD’s beta to global “risky” market returns has fallen to multi-year lows. Paralleling that, Australia’s national savings continue to...

Rosbel Durán
Feb 27, 2024


⚖️🇩🇪🇺🇸Treasury-Yield Spread Remains Within Ranges: Cable FX Macro
Monday session sees global rates offered, 10-year benchmark yields in Germany and the U.S. rise by 7.7bps and 3.7bps, respectively. The...

Rosbel Durán
Feb 26, 2024


🏦📊Fed Pricing Continues to Pare Rate Cut Bets: Cable FX Macro
The market reversed its Fed pricing course since mid-January when expectations saw 160bps of easing for 2024. The move extended into less...

Rosbel Durán
Feb 26, 2024


🎈Inflation Surprise Trends Diverge vs U.S.: Cable FX Macro
This week, the docket is set to receive the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, the core PCE. As of December, the rate stands at 2.6%...

Rosbel Durán
Feb 26, 2024


📝Expect EUR/USD to Fall to 1.03-1.05 In H1: J.P. Morgan FX Strategy
The motivation for our relatively bullish USD view (EUR/USD 1.03-1.05 in 1H is persistent US growth and yield exceptionalism. This...

Rosbel Durán
Feb 15, 2024


⚖️HY Option Adjusted Spreads Narrow Despite U.S. CPI Print: Cable FX Macro
U.S. and global high-yield corporate bond spreads have narrowed despite the hot CPI print. A measure of U.S. HY spreads is near its...

Rosbel Durán
Feb 15, 2024
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