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📝Trump's Conviction Did Not Move Election Volatility: Barclays Strategy
With US presidential election five months away (i.e. on 5-Nov), activity in November options appears modest vs contracts in its vicinity,...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 18, 2024


❗️📝Cable FX Macro Weekly Note
**As seen in Risk In The Week report 06/14/24, subscribe at cablefxm.co.uk/reports This week: U.S. Retail Sales RBA Cash Rate Decision...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 17, 2024


🔺💵U.S. Dollar Pares CPI Losses On Risk Off Trade: Cable FX Macro
Our measure of the dollar, the Cable FX Macro Dollar Index, posted marginal losses this week. Price action was contained into risk events...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 16, 2024


📝Carry Unwind Amplified As Hedge Funds Increased Beta: J.P. Morgan FX Strategy
Figure 10 highlights relative positioning in a favored carry structure, relative to spot, which does indeed suggest that positioning will...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 14, 2024


📝Political Uncertainty Drives EUR Lower: UBS Strategy
Friday has seen a real extension of EUR lower, driven by European politics and market risk sentiment. Most of the action is in EURXes not...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 14, 2024


RPT--🇸🇪❗️Cable FX Macro Weekly Note: Sweden May Consumer Prices
**As seen in Risk In The Week report 06/09/24, subscribe at cablefxm.co.uk/reports Sweden headline consumer prices accelerated in April...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 14, 2024


RPT--🏦🇯🇵Cable FX Macro Weekly Note: BoJ June Rate Decision
**As seen in Risk In The Week report 06/09/24, subscribe at cablefxm.co.uk/reports Back in April, the Bank of Japan left its policy rates...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 14, 2024


🏦🇺🇸Desk Commentary: FOMC June Rate Decision
Cable FX Macro: I fear some market participants and desks may miss the bigger picture. Currently, the VIX stands below 12.0%, a 1 vol...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 13, 2024


🎈U.S. Inflation Surprise Index Falls to Lowest In 9 Months: Cable FX Macro
**As seen in Online Tools>Inflation Dashboard, subscribe at cablefxm.co.uk/reports Our own measure of U.S. inflation surprises has fallen...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 12, 2024


📝Real Money Split On USD/MXN Spike Higher: UBS Strategy
USD/MXN gaps higher once as New York walks in. The pair continues to trade quite choppy each day, as holding onto gamma longs/risk...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 12, 2024


🏦❗️Cable FX Macro Weekly Note: FOMC June Rate Decision
**As seen in Risk In The Week report 06/09/24, subscribe at cablefxm.co.uk/reports The Fed will most likely leave rates unchanged this...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 12, 2024


🇺🇸❗️Cable FX Macro Weekly Note: U.S. May Consumer Prices
**As seen in Risk In The Week report 06/09/24, subscribe at cablefxm.co.uk/reports U.S. headline consumer prices eased to 3.4% Y/y from...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 12, 2024


📝❗️Cable FX Macro Weekly Note
**As seen in Risk In The Week report 06/09/24, subscribe at cablefxm.co.uk/reports This week: U.S. inflation FOMC meeting Norway...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 11, 2024


RPT--❗️🇳🇴Cable FX Macro Weekly Note: Norway May Consumer Prices
**As seen in Risk In The Week report 06/09/24, subscribe at cablefxm.co.uk/reports Norway April CPI-ATE measure rose 4.4% Y/y and 0.9%...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 11, 2024


⚖️⛔️Credit Spreads Widen On OAT Underperformance: Cable FX Macro
Domestic political risks saw the periphery offered on Monday session, but declines were led by French OATs, a movement index calculated...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 10, 2024


⚠️💱Peso Front-End Implied Undervalued By Around 400Bps: Cable FX Macro
Last week, the spike in the USD/MXN recorded a range above 1.50 pesos. Over the past five years, ranges this wide have been seen only 7...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 10, 2024


📝Rising Political Risks to Pressure Domestic Spreads: Commerzbank Strategy
The present situation looks more akin to 2017, when the sudden emergence of risks of a Le Pen election victory triggered sustained...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 10, 2024


💱⚠️Mexico Credit Default Swaps Rise Marginally Despite Uncertainty: Cable FX Macro
The rise in MXN-denominated assets risk premium translated to sharp losses in FX and equities, the peso posted its worst week since the...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 9, 2024


📉⚠️Mexican Peso Extends Losses to YTD Lows On Reform Risks: Cable FX Macro
The chart below shows a summary of USD/MXN price action following the presidential election results USD/MXN failed to reject 18.0 to the...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 8, 2024


🇺🇸💼U.S. Unemployment Rate Unexpectedly Rises In May: Cable FX Macro
**As seen in Online Tools>Non Farm Payrolls Dashboard, subscribe at cablefxm.co.uk/reports The May jobs report showed the U.S. economy...

Rosbel Durán
Jun 7, 2024
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