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🏦📊 Market Extends Probabilities For Fed Rate Cuts Next Year: Cable FX Macro

  • With slowing rate hikes expected in the next few Fed meetings, markets extended the possibility of the Fed cutting in mid-2023. This is mainly due to the deteriorating economic situation, which many believe will force the Fed to pivot early and start easing monetary policy in a bid to support the US economy and job market.

  • The June tenor on USD swaps slipped to 4.3% by the end of the week from the prior 5.1%

  • The current outlook is still targeting a 5% rate in early 2023, there is still room for more action on the Fed's part, especially if economic data releases these next few months surprise to the upside.

  • However, this is not to say that some of these developments are not already priced in

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