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📊💵 Dollar Highly Sensitive to Inflation Releases: Cable FX Macro

  • The dollar has risen in the last 7/12 inflation report releases. A greenback benchmark built by Bloomberg is up 0.25% on average on U.S. inflation figures day

  • The largest USD decline over the last year was seen in the July report, inflation surprised to the downside and the dollar finished the day down 0.27%

  • As shown below, over the last year, the dollar has been highly sensible to inflation reports. When the figures surprise to the upside, the USD tends to finish the day positive

  • Inflation days are becoming more volatile, the best and worst BBDXY days are recorded in the July and August CPI reports, the latter saw the benchmark finish up 0.63%

  • The bottom chart shows the BBDXY % performance 30 minutes preceding the event. The upper/lower bounds represent a 1-std deviation from the mean response

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