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🏦📊USD Priced In For Most Aggressive Easing Next Year: Cable FX Macro

**As seen in Macro Walk report 11/17/23, subscribe at cablefxm.co.uk/reports


  • Overnight indexed swaps have stepped up rate cut expectations for 2024, most of our watchlist is priced in for easing over the next 6 meetings. The BoJ is a clear divergence as it lags DM central banks and markets expect policy normalization to take place over the next year

  • The EUR and USD are seen trimming benchmark policy rates at about the pace by June, however, the Fed is seen loosening further into the long-end of the swaps curve

  • O/N indexed swaps price in about 30bps of easing by June and a total of 62bps by September. The expectations compare to an about unchanged RBA by the same time next year

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