The model continues to perform from the last time we published the August 2022 results vs actual spot % change
The most positive signals were seen in USD and CAD, most negative in JPY and SEK. CAD has been mixed vs G10 peers while it outperforms the short signals, USD leads the G10 at about 1.9% month-to-date
The dollar was mostly supported by the momentum factor, while the volatility factor took some ranking points off. CAD is seen flat in all three factors
SEK bottomed the G10 composite rankings as Carry and volatility were the largest contributors to the negative signal. In JPY, momentum dragged the most
A basket of long CAD, USD vs short JPY SEK is shown in the second graph
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