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🏦📊Swaps Price About 50Bps Of Cuts This Year: Cable FX Macro

**As seen in Macro Walk report 01/20/23, cablefxm.co.uk/reports


  • Overnight index swaps price in about 50bps of Fed cuts this year. Measuring the calendar spreads in June to December, Fed cuts pricing built last week

  • We're less than one week away from the Fed February meeting, the market sees 25bps locked in. Chances of a rate cut favour by 60% as soon as the November meeting

  • After the BoC January meeting, we also saw building in odds of rate reductions by the central bank in 2023. The policy rate is now seen at around 3.50% by year-end, this is 100bps lower from where the target rate is now



 
 
 

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