USD/CNH has rallied past the key 7.30 level and is up nearly 1% since we last published, as markets remain concerned over Chinas growth outlook. To that extent, recent activity data has not been particularly constructive. The Caixin Services PMI reading dropped to its lowest level since Dec22 this week, and private developers like Country Garden continue to face ongoing liquidity stress. Unsurpris- ingly, market sentiment on China has remained weak and weighed on CNH, despite continued stimulatory measures from the PBoC. As weve previously highlighted, the CCF continues to be set at a level that often offsets nearly all of the prior days intra-day weakening in USD/CNY. Recommend staying long USD/CNH via options. - J.P. Morgan Strategy
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