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📊💱Momentum And Carry Lead Gains In June: Cable FX Macro


  • The last month of 2Q is in the books, and we're officially set for the second half of whatever this was (first time? meme). Currency models have faced a very challenging period over the first 1H, geopolitics are very hard to price in but a Trump all out tariff war is impossible.

  • However, June factors performance recorded carry and momentum outperformance. While a factor that tracks market neutral currency strategies, spread, lost the most. Both momentum and carry gained 1.9% on the month, the latter had a lower standard deviation of returns. Momentum was the best performing factor during the first half of 2025.

  • The Cable FX Macro G10FX Composite model ended flat and gave back gains of 0.9%, this is the second consecutive monthly gain for the composite model. **The composite model is a mix of volatility, carry, and momentum.

  • In terms of basket compositions, carry, a factor that profits from rate differentials, went long antipodes and short franc and the Swedish krone. Momentum, a factor that targets best and shorts worst past performances, went long EUR and short yen and dollar.

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