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⚖️🇬🇧GBP/USD Not Tracking Yield Differentials Higher: Cable FX Macro

  • Rising gilt yields are driven heavily by higher term premium from UK political instability (Starmer/Labour leadership crisis after poor local elections, fiscal credibility concerns, potential policy shifts) and sticky inflation risks (energy pass-through from Middle East tensions/oil >$100).Markets interpret this as a risk premium (investors demanding more yield to hold UK debt due to uncertainty), not genuine economic strength. This acts like a “tax” on holding GBP rather than a reward, this is currently translated into softer trading in sterling and demand of downside structures.



 
 
 

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