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⚠️FX Vol Trades Above Par Heading Into Key Events: Cable FX Macro

Writer's picture: Rosbel DuránRosbel Durán

**As seen in Macro Walk report 12/09/2022, subscribe at cablefxm.co.uk/reports


  • Next week we will receive U.S. CPI, retail sales, and a heavy docket on central bank decisions

  • FX implied volatility trades above par on 1w tenors, the largest spreads are seen in EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD. Vol is cheaper moving into the curve

  • 1w IV in EUR/USD jumped by 3.7 vols, the GBP/USD equivalent moved by the same amount while long-end tenors declined

  • In GBP/USD, we have not seen implied-historic vol spread widen by this much since early September. The differential is close to 2-standard deviations from its 1-year average.



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