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💵Dollar Trading Breaks Up With Risk: Cable FX Macro

  • The recent dollar strength met a continuation of the risk asset rally that started since November. The last two months of last year saw our measure of the greenback drop to near YTD lows

  • RDDXY declined by 4.2% in both November and December trading, these were the worst months seen in a year

  • Historically, USD and risk correlations have been negative, a short-term coefficient ticked at around 60% at the end of 2023

  • We’re now looking at a break-up of the historical relationship as the dollar reverses the November/December losses and equities rise to record highs

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Investing and trading involve risk. This includes the possible loss of principal and fluctuations in value. There is no assurance that objectives will be met. Do not risk capital that you cannot afford to lose.  

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