🏦📊 Focus On Dots Median to Match Implied Rates Of 4% By Year-End: Cable FX Macro
- Rosbel Durán
- Sep 21, 2022
- 1 min read
Rates are expected to rise to 4.0% by end of year, the market implies a peak of 4.5% by H1 2023
We're leaving here the Fed June's projections for the dot plot and economic forecasts
We will be looking for the Fed's dot plot median to match expectations for this year and beyond. If expectations are matched/missed, this will set the price action for the dollar before we hear from Fed Chair Powell
While it is likely to get upward revisions for Core PCE and the headline metric, downward revisions to growth will move the odds on the likelihood that we get or not a soft landing
In June, the Fed revised growth lower to 1.7% in 2022, and 1.7% in 2023. The Bloomberg consensus projection sees GDP expanding at 1.6% in 2022 and 0.9% next year
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