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⚠️EUR Implied Vol Tracking Realized: Cable FX Macro

  • EUR/USD 1w implied volatility tenor now covers the FOMC September monetary policy decision, last tick sees 12.485%, up 292bps on the day

  • The equivalent tenor in realized volatility reads at 14.16%, meaning options in the cross are undervalued and volatility could rise from here into the Fed

  • The differential has narrowed as implied vol rallies on Thursday session

  • EUR/USD 25-delda 1w risk reversals remain in favour of the dollar in the 1w tenor, however, last read is at -0.395 vols, close to MTD highs


 
 
 

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